34th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop

26-30 October 2009
Monterey, California, USA

Overview

The 34th Annual Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop will address the status of and prospects for advancing climate monitoring, assessment, and prediction, with an emphasis on the societal applications of climate science.  The workshop will have three major themes:

  1. Understanding and attribution of climate variability and its impacts
  2. Improvement of climate analyses and predictions
  3. Application of climate analyses and predictions to the development and delivery of products relevant to users of climate science

Sponsors

The sponsors of this year's workshop are:

  • Climate Prediction Center of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction
  • Naval Postgraduate School
  • Monterey Bay Aquarium
  • Naval Meteorology and Oceanography Command
  • Naval Postgraduate School Foundation
  • American Meteorological Society (cooperating sponsor)

Host

The workshop is hosted by:

Department of Meteorology
Naval Postgraduate School
1 University Circle
Monterey, California, USA 93943-5000

Agenda

The first link below provides links to all the presentations for which the authors provided permission to post their presentations.

Registration

Advance registration is required of all workshop participants. The registration due date to receive the lowest registration fee of $150.00 is 25 September 2009. Registrations completed after 25 September 2009 will be charged a fee of $180.00. Please click on the CDPW 2009 Registration link below to complete your registration and pay your registration fee. The last date to register at this site is 21 October 2009. However, you may register onsite at the workshop. If you have any questions concerning the registration site or methods for paying your registration fee, please contact the registration operator, Trade Shogun, by clicking here.

Workshop Location and Workshop Hotel

The workshop will be held at:

Hyatt Regency Monterey Resort & Spa on Del Monte Golf Course
1 Old Golf Course Road
Monterey, California, USA 93940-4908
General number: 831-372-1234
Reservations number: 831-372-1234 or 800-233-1234
Fax number: 831-375-3960
http://monterey.hyatt.com/hyatt/hotels/index.jsp

The main workshop meeting room at the hotel will be the Monterey Grand Ballroom, located just north of the hotel registration desk and main lobby.

Maps of the hotel property and the general area are available at the links below.

The main entrance to the hotel property is at the intersection of Sloat Avenue and Mark Thomas Drive, shown in both maps. Please see Mapquest, Google Maps, or similar online services for more detailed driving maps and directions. Parking at the hotel is free for all workshop participants and guests.

A block of rooms has been reserved at the workshop hotel at a rate of $140 per night for single and double occupancy, $155 per night for triple occupancy, and $170 per night for quadruple occupancy. These rates are the same as the federal government rates and are available to all workshop participants. These rates reflect a recent rise in the federal government rate for the new fiscal year starting on 01 October 2009. These rates apply to all workshop participants, including those who reserved their rooms prior to the rate increase. We apologize for any complications this rate increase may cause you. Taxes and fees are in addition to these rates. To reserve a room at the workshop rate, call the hotel number listed above and request the Department of Meteorology / Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop rate. To receive the workshop rate, you must reserve your room by 25 September 2009. October is a popular time to visit the Monterey area, so please reserve your hotel room as early as possible. Reserving early will also help us in planning the workshop.

We especially encourage you to reserve your room at the Hyatt Regency Monterey early if you would like to stay for extra nights before or after the workshop (i.e., prior to the night of Sunday, 25 October, or after the night of Thursday, 29 October). The earlier you reserve those extra nights, the more likely it is that the hotel will have rooms available at the workshop rate for those extra nights.

We strongly encourage you to consider arriving in Monterey early and/or staying late. There are many reasons to spend extra time in the Monterey area, including, for example, these attractions:

Workshop Food, Drink, and Social Events

At the start of each day of the workshop (07:30-08:00), breakfast baked goods (e.g., bagels, muffins), coffee, and tea will be provided to registered workshop participants on the Monterey Grand Ballroom Terrace, just outside the main meeting area. Coffee and tea will be provided during the mid-morning break and mid-afternoon break each day.

Ice Breaker Social at the Monterey Grand Ballroom Terrace of the Hyatt Regency Monterey Resort, Monday evening, 26 October 2009. This event is free to registered workshop participants.

Dinner and Viewing at the Monterey Bay Aquarium, Wednesday, 7-10:30 pm, 28 October 2009. This event is graciously hosted by the Monterey Bay Aquarium. This event includes dinner, viewing, and discounted shopping in the main wing of the aquarium. Free bus service to and from the aquarium will be provided. This event is free to workshop participants who have registered by 26 October 2009. Registered workshop participants who wish to bring guests to this event may purchase guest tickets through 25 October 2009 at the following site operated by TradeShogun: http://tradeshogun.com/aquarium. Guest tickets may also be purchased at the workshop on 26 October 2009. Guest tickets cost $83 and must be purchased by 26 October 2009.

Recreational Activities in the Monterey Area

The Hyatt Regency Monterey Resort has a number of swimming pools and tennis courts, and is located adjacent to the Del Monte Golf Course. Cruiser type bicycles are available for rent at the hotel. There are many good bicycling routes readily accessible form the workshop hotel and running along the ocean and through the woods and hills (e.g., the Monterey Bay Recreational Trail and the famous 17 Mile Drive through Pebble Beach). Bicycling route suggestions will be available at the workshop. The hotel is very close to a number of attractions, including:

  • Downtown Monterey and Fishermen's Wharf: Many very good restaurants and shops. Historical buildings and state parks from the early history of California. Whale watching tours by boat on Monterey Bay are available at the wharf. A wide range of marine mammals and birds can be seen in the bay year round. Located about one mile away northwest of the hotel.
  • Monterey State Beach: A beautiful sandy beach on the south side of Monterey Bay. A good place for walking, swimming, kayaking, and surfing. Located about one mile north of the hotel.
  • Monterey Bay Recreational Trail: A beautiful walking, riding, and skating trail that runs for several miles along the edge of Monterey Bay. Located about one mile north of the hotel.
  • Jacks Peak Regional Park: A very nice park for seeing native flora and views of Monterey Bay, the Pacific Ocean, Santa Cruz, and Carmel Valley. Located about one mile south of the hotel.
  • Monterey Bay Aquarium: A large, world class ocean aquarium with beautiful views of Monterey Bay and of marine life, both in the aquarium and swimming and flying by the aquarium. Located about three miles northwest of the hotel.
  • Cannery Row: A historic area from the fishing heydays of Monterey and the site of many good restaurants and shops. Located about two miles northwest of the hotel.
  • Pebble Beach: A resort area with many miles of beautiful walking, bike riding, horseback riding, and driving along the coast. Also well known for several championship golf courses. Located about four miles southwest of the hotel.
  • Carmel-by-the-Sea: A charming coastal town with a very beautiful white sand beach, and many very good restaurants and shops. Located about four miles south of the hotel.
  • Point Lobos State Reserve: A very beautiful coastal marine reserve with several miles of great hiking trails. An excellent place to observe large and small marine life in the wild. Located about six miles south of the hotel.
  • Big Sur Coast: A dramatic coastal region stretching for about 70 miles along the central California coast. The drive along Highway One is very beautiful, with many places to stop and enjoy the views or take a hike up a canyon to see the redwood trees, or walk along a stream or river. There are a number of very good to outstanding restaurants scattered along the Big Sur coast.

Monterey Area Climate

Monterey's climate in late October is fairly mild. The long term mean daytime high temperature is 21oC (70oF) and the nighttime low is 10oC (50oF). Sea surface temperatures are typically in the 13-15oC (55-60oF) range, but with the on-going 2009-2010 El Nino event, we may have warmer than normal SSTs. More climate information for the Monterey area is available at: http://www.weather.nps.navy.mil/renard_wx/. Of course, check the weather in advance of the workshop (e.g., at: http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mtr/).

Transportation

You can fly into the Monterey airport (MRY), about a 10 minute taxi ride from the hotel. Or you can fly into: (a) the San Jose airport (SJC) which is 72 miles away, about a 75 minute drive from Monterey; or (b) the San Francisco airport (SFO), about a 2 hour drive from Monterey. For many flights, it costs no more to fly into the Monterey airport than into the San Jose or San Francisco airports.

The Monterey/Salinas Airbus (www.montereyairbus.com) has regularly scheduled service between SFO, SJC, and Monterey. Amtrak has passenger rail service to Salinas, California (about 20 miles from Monterey), that includes Amtrak bus service to and from Monterey (http://www.amtrak.com/servlet/ContentServer?pagename=Amtrak/HomePage).

Workshop Topics

The workshop will include oral sessions with a mix of invited and submitted presentations, plus thematic poster sessions.  The primary focus topics for the workshop will be:

  1. Recent Climate Events:  We encourage abstract submissions on analyses, forecasts, and forecast verification concerning climate events during the preceding year.
  1. Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Modeling of the Climate System:  We invite abstract submissions on a wide range of topics in climate scale statistical and dynamical modeling, including development of initial states, hindcasting, reanalysis, reforecasting, multi-model ensemble modeling, and related topics.  Modeling of intraseasonal to interannual variability is of special interest, but presentations on decadal and longer scale modeling are also welcome.
  1. Impacts of Global Scale Climate Variations on Western US Weather and Climate:  We invite submissions on both observational and modeling studies of intraseasonal and interannual variations that affect western US weather and climate.  We also welcome presentations on the impacts in the west of longer period variations and global climate change.
  1. Shifts in Climate Means and Interdecadal Variations:  We invite submissions on analyzing and forecasting a climate system that is undergoing long term shifts and oscillations.  Topics include the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, the impacts on seasonal prediction of long term climate forcing factors (e.g., CO2, aerosols), the regional impacts of global climate change, and related topics.
  1. Applications of Climate Science in Decision Making:  We invite submissions on the use of climate analyses and forecasts in decision making.  This includes topics such as: applications of climate analyses and long range predictions of the marine environment (e.g., winds, waves, mixing, clouds, ocean temperatures, upwelling, currents); the development of climate based risk management plans (e.g., plans for mitigating climate scale risks in water, power generation, flood, wildfire, and ecosystem management); strategies for effectively translating and presenting climate information to decision makers (e.g., translation of probabilistic forecasts, development of GIS based products); and related topics.

The outcomes of this year's workshop will include assessments of: (1) our current understanding of, and ability to predict, climate on time scales of weeks to decades; (2) opportunities for improving prediction capabilities; and (3) potential new products to support decision making.

Abstract Submission and Additional Information

The abstract due date has been extended to 31 August 2009.  For additional workshop information and to submit your abstract, please go to the following site:

Climate Prediction Center - 34th Annual CDPW

Oral and Poster Presentation Information

Oral presenters should email their presentation files as PowerPoint, Word or PDF files to Mary Jordan at NPS at jordan@nps.edu. The first word of the file name should be the last name of the lead author that is listed in the agenda (the agenda is posted at the web site listed above). Please email your files as soon as possible. You must also bring your file on a USB drive or CD to the workshop. Files that are not received via email will need to be uploaded from your USB drive or CD at the workshop. All oral presentations will be in the Beach-Pacific Room of the Monterey Grand Ballroom of the Hyatt Regency hotel (see hotel map link, above).

Poster presenters should prepare their posters so that each poster will fit in a 1.25 meter by 1.25 meter (4 ft by 4 ft) space. Poster stands and push pins will be available for you to use pinning up your posters. All the poster sessions will be in the Grove Room of the Monterey Grand Ballroom of the Hyatt Regency hotel (see hotel map link, above).

Contact Information

For more information, please contact:

Tom Murphree
Naval Postgraduate School
murphree@nps.edu

Huug van den Dool
Climate Prediction Center
huug.vandendool@noaa.gov

Jae Schemm
Climate Prediction Center
jae.schemm@noaa.gov